Based on available information, the average number of deaths caused by falling coconuts each year is approximately 2.[1]
Exaggerated claims have spread concerning the number of deaths by falling coconuts, with an urban legend suggesting the number is around 150 people each year worldwide. This statistic has often been contrasted with the number of shark-caused deaths per year, which is around five or six annually over the past decade.[2] [3]
The origin of the widely misquoted figure of 150 deaths per year can be traced back to a 1984 research paper titled "Injuries Due to Falling Coconuts" by Dr. Peter Barss. In his study in Papua New Guinea, Barss observed that 2.5% of trauma admissions were for injuries from falling coconuts, but none were fatal during his study period. He mentioned two anecdotal reports of deaths over several years. This figure of two deaths was subsequently misquoted and exaggerated to 150 worldwide based on the assumption that other places would have a similar rate of falling coconut deaths.[2]
Probability the answer is correct: 95%
While the possibility of death by falling coconut is real, the actual annual death rate is significantly lower than the widely circulated urban legend suggests.[1] [2]
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